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2026-04-14 · macro — The August 2024 yen carry trade unwind was not a one-off event. It was the first tremor. The Bank of Japan is still the largest buyer of Japanese government bonds and the second-largest foreign holder of US Treasuries. Every time the yen rallies, that position becomes a source of forced selling. The next tremor is closer than the market is positioned for.
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2026-03-20 · macro — The Bank of Japan abandoned yield curve control, letting 10-year JGB yields rise to 1.8%. The yen carry trade unwind is draining global liquidity.